Felix Zulauf's Market Prognosis - June 2012

Found via Zero Hedge.

There is too much debt in the industrialized world and the financial system is virtually bust.  Real disposable income is stagnating or declining.  Employment participation keeps heading south.  This produces a chain reaction:  Weaker consumer demand in the West weakens manufacturing in places like Asia, which weakens natural-resource producers such as Austrailia or Brazil.

As for the euro, it is a misconstruction. As I said in January, I expect the disintegration to begin in the second half of this year. That should lead the world into financial and economic chaos. My two major themes into 2013 are euro disintegration and China weakness, due to the bursting of a real-estate boom.

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The global economy is weakening cyclically on top of a highly fragile credit system. It is an explosive cocktail. The tower of debt is compounded by the gigantic over-the-counter derivatives market. In the past 10 years the notional value of derivatives worldwide has grown from $100 trillion to almost $800 trillion. The numbers are mind-boggling. If something goes wrong in the real economy, it could shake the whole credit system dramatically. It is a dangerous situation.