Nate Silver: it's the numbers, stupid

The poker player and baseball nerd turned political forecaster won fame after predicting the result of the US election with uncanny accuracy. And as his star rises so too does that of a whole new generation of 'quants' leading the digital revolution

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Related paper (Taleb: “why political predictions work, not economic ones”): “Prediction Markets” & Game Setups Have Nothing to Do With Real Risks