“If you “have optionality,” you don’t have much need for
what is commonly called intelligence, knowledge, insight, skills, and these
complicated things that take place in our brain cells. For you don’t have to be
right that often. All you need is the wisdom to not do unintelligent things to hurt yourself (some acts of
omission) and recognize favorable outcomes when they occur. (The key is that
your assessment doesn’t need to be made beforehand, only after the outcome.)” –Nassim
Taleb, Antifragile
