That said, it’s [AIG] a lot like GE. It is a fabulously
successful insurance operator, and with success it morphed into a massive carry
business: borrowing a lot of money at one price and investing it at another
price. AIG was a big operator that was a lot like GE Credit. We never owned
either because even the best and wisest people make us nervous in great big
credit operations with swollen balance sheets. It just makes me nervous, that
many people borrowing so many billions.
As you can tell in our operations, we are much more conservative.
We borrow less, on more favorable terms. We’re happier with less leverage.
They’ve been successful, but we’re too chicken to join them. You could argue
that we’ve been wrong, and that it’s cost us a fortune, but that doesn’t bother
us. Missing out on some opportunity never bothers us. What’s wrong with someone
getting a little richer than you? It’s crazy to worry about this.
There’s a lot of leverage in those carry-trade games. Other
people are more certain than I am that aircraft can always be leased.